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portada Thinking in Bets
Type
Physical Book
Publisher
Year
2019
Language
English
Pages
288
Format
Paperback
Dimensions
20.6 x 13.7 x 2.0 cm
Weight
0.23 kg.
ISBN13
9780735216372

Thinking in Bets

Annie Duke (Author) · Portfolio · Paperback

Thinking in Bets - Annie Duke

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R 341
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Synopsis "Thinking in Bets "

A Wall Street Journal bestseller, now in paperback. Poker champion turned decision strategist Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions. Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there's always information hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes, and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate, and successful in the long run.
Annie Duke
  (Author)
View Author's Page
Annie Duke (nacida en 1965) es una reconocida exjugadora de póker profesional estadounidense, autora de superventas y experta en la toma de decisiones bajo incertidumbre. Con formación en psicología cognitiva en la Universidad de Pensilvania, combinó la academia con el póker, ganando más de $4 millones en torneos, incluyendo un brazalete de la Serie Mundial de Póker (WSOP).
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