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portada Forecasting Market Index Performance Using Population Demographics
Type
Physical Book
Author
Publisher
Language
English
Pages
60
Format
Paperback
Dimensions
24.6x18.9x0.3 cm
Weight
0.13 kg.
ISBN13
9781288326969
Categories

Forecasting Market Index Performance Using Population Demographics

Bradley J. Alden (Author) · Biblioscholar · Paperback

Forecasting Market Index Performance Using Population Demographics - Alden, Bradley J.

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Synopsis "Forecasting Market Index Performance Using Population Demographics"

This study attempted to verify claims made by forecaster Harry S. Dent, Jr. It utilized regression analysis in order to determine the correlation between the number of births and the closings on a market index with a specified lag between the input and output variables. While the research was able to develop a model with the factor Dent considers the most important, the predictions based on this model did not completely coincide with the forecasts Dent makes. Furthermore, the research could not confirm the accentuation Dent places on a 46-year lag between predictor and response variables. As an extension, scenarios for Japan, the United Kingdom, and Germany were examined. This analysis could not confirm the hypothesized extension of Dent's theory to other countries.

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