Name: The Fourth Turning is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell us About how and When This Crisis Will end
Price: 534.00 ZAR
Availability: InStock
Author: Neil Howe
ISBN: 9781982173739

portada The Fourth Turning is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell us About how and When This Crisis Will end

The Fourth Turning is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell us About how and When This Crisis Will end

Type

Physical Book

Author

Neil Howe

Publisher

Simon and Schuster

Language

English

Pages

416

Format

Hardcover

Dimensions

22.9 x 15.2 x 2.7 cm

Weight

0.62 kg.

ISBN13

9781982173739

Synopsis "The Fourth Turning is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell us About how and When This Crisis Will end "

The visionary behind the bestselling phenomenon The Fourth Turning looks once again to America's past to predict our future in this startling and hopeful prophecy for how our present era of civil unrest will resolve over the next ten years--and what our lives will look like once it has. Twenty-five years ago, Neil Howe and the late William Strauss dazzled the world with a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back at the last 500 years, they'd uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting roughly eighty to one hundred years, the length of a long human life, with each cycle composed of four eras--or "turnings"--that always arrive in the same order and each last about twenty years. The last of these eras--the fourth turning--was always the most perilous, a period of civic upheaval and national mobilization as traumatic and transformative as the New Deal and World War II, the Civil War, or the American Revolution. Now, right on schedule, our own fourth turning has arrived. And so Neil Howe has returned with an extraordinary new prediction. What we see all around us--the polarization, the growing threat of civil conflict and global war--will culminate by the early 2030s in a climax that poses great danger and yet also holds great promise, perhaps even bringing on America's next golden age. Every generation alive today will play a vital role in determining how this crisis is resolved, for good or ill. Illuminating, sobering, yet ultimately empowering, The Fourth Turning Is Here takes you back into history and deep into the collective personality of each living generation to make sense of our current crisis, explore how all of us will be differently affected by the political, social, and economic challenges we'll face in the decade to come, and reveal how our country, our communities, and our families can best prepare to meet these challenges head-on.

Neil Howe

(Author)

View Author's Page

Neil Howe is an American historian, economist, and demographer, known for developing the generational theory of Strauss–Howe with William Strauss. This theory suggests that history progresses in cycles of approximately 80-90 years, divided into four "turnings" that repeat in generational patterns. Howe has been the managing director of demographic issues at Hedgeye Risk Management and president of Saeculum Research. Additionally, he is a principal at the Center for Strategic and International Studies and the Global Aging Institute. He lives in Great Falls, Virginia.

Among his most notable works are Generations: The History of America's Future, 1584 to 2069 (1991), 13th Gen: Abort, Retry, Ignore, Fail? (1993), The Fourth Turning (1997), translated into Spanish as El Cuarto Giro, and Millennials Rising: The Next Great Generation (2000). These publications, in the genre of historical and sociological essay, have been influential in the analysis of generational patterns and their impact on American society.

See less