Tracked shipping to South Africa with premium packaging for just R199 

Ship to
South Africa
0

My Account

  • argentina
  • chile
  • colombia
  • españa
  • méxico
  • perú
  • estados unidos
  • internacional

menu

Select your country

Americas

Europe

Rest of the world

portada War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics (Bridging the Gap)
Type
Physical Book
Publisher
Author
Year
2019
Language
English
Pages
240
Format
Hardcover
ISBN13
9780190938024
Categories

War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics (Bridging the Gap)

Jeffrey A. Friedman (Author) · Oup Usa · Hardcover

War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics (Bridging the Gap) - Jeffrey A. Friedman

New Book Imported to South Africa
Delivery: 06 Oct - 14 Oct Shipping: 5 to 6 business days.
R 1,181
R 1,181

Choose the list to add your product or create one New List

Go to My Wishlists
Calculate shipping cost

Synopsis "War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics (Bridging the Gap) "

Uncertainty surrounds every major decision in international politics. Yet there is almost always room for reasonable people to disagree about what that uncertainty entails. No one can reliably predict the outbreak of armed conflict, forecast economic recessions, anticipate terrorist attacks, or estimate the countless other risks that shape foreign policy choices. Many scholars and practitioners therefore believe that it is better to keep foreign policy debates focused on the facts - that it is, at best, a waste of time to debate uncertain judgments that will often prove to be wrong.In War and Chance, Jeffrey A. Friedman shows how foreign policy officials often try to avoid the challenge of assessing uncertainty, and argues that this behavior undermines high-stakes decision making. Drawing on an innovative combination of historical and experimental evidence, he explains how foreign policy analysts can assess uncertainty in a manner that is theoretically coherent, empirically meaningful, politically defensible, practically useful, and sometimes logically necessary for making sound choices. Each of these claims contradicts widespread skepticism about the value of probabilistic reasoning in international politics, and shows how placing greater emphasis on assessing uncertainty can improve nearly any foreign policy debate.A clear-eyed examination of the logic, psychology, and politics of assessing uncertainty, War and Chance provides scholars and practitioners with new foundations for understanding one of the most controversial elements of foreign policy discourse.

Customers reviews

More customer reviews
  • 0% (0)
  • 0% (0)
  • 0% (0)
  • 0% (0)
  • 0% (0)

Frequently Asked Questions about the Book

Is the book original?

All books in our catalog are Original.

In what language is the book written?

The book is written in English.

What is the format of this book?

The binding of this edition is Hardcover.

Questions and Answers about the Book

Do you have a question about the book? Login to be able to add your own question.

Opinions about Bookdelivery

More customer reviews